Bitcoin P2P as “Crime-as-a-Service”
In its latest report, titled “Money Laundering and Blockchain: Can You Track the Footprints in the Crypto World?”, the Bank highlights platforms like kycnot.me, which let users trade Bitcoin without knowing their customer identity verification (KYC), making it easier for criminals to hide illegal money.
The further report explains that these platforms let people trade Bitcoin without revealing their identity, making it difficult for law enforcement to track where the funds come from.
Money launderers often take advantage of platforms in countries with weak anti-money laundering (AML) laws or those labeled as high-risk by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).
Interestingly, the Bank report also mentions events like “Satoshi Spritz,” where individuals gather to exchange Bitcoin for goods or fiat currency. While these events are often organized by the Bitcoin community to educate others, the Bank warns that they could also be used for money laundering.
How Money Launderers Operate
Even though blockchain technology keeps a public record of all transactions, it doesn’t show the identity of the person behind each address. Criminals use this to their advantage, finding ways to hide the origin of their money.
The Bank’s report explains some common tricks used by money launderers.
Mixers and Tumblers: These tools mix different users’ funds, making it hard to trace where the money came from.
Chain-Hopping: This involves moving funds across different blockchains to confuse trackers.
Anonymous Wallets: These wallets hide users’ IP addresses and break the link between transactions.
Sabine Hossenfelder: The Controversial Figure in Modern Physics
Sabine Hossenfelder is a multifaceted personality: a part-time scientist, prolific author, and science YouTuber known for her provocative views on contemporary physics. While she has garnered significant attention for her educational content and critiques of current academic norms, she has also stirred considerable controversy, particularly with her claim, "I don't trust science and I don't trust scientists." This assertion has drawn accusations of promoting anti-science narratives, leading to her being labeled a hypocrite by some critics.
Hossenfelder's skepticism toward academia seems rooted in her own experiences. Her academic journey revealed a landscape of politics and opportunism masked as a pursuit of knowledge. Starting her master's project under the supervision of Walter Greiner, she faced challenges that would shape her perspective. Greiner, a respected physicist known for his textbooks, reportedly let loose an angry dismissal when Hossenfelder refused to contribute free labor for his textbook production. Her brush with academia left her disillusioned, prompting her to realize that knowledge discovery often takes a backseat to profit-making in institutions.
The academic frustration intensified as Hossenfelder encountered what many physicists regard as a pseudo-science: String Theory. During the 80s and 90s, this theory was hailed as a potential "Theory of Everything," capable of unifying fundamental forces. Yet, it garnered criticism for its lack of empirical evidence and reliance on speculative and often contrived concepts. Hossenfelder began her blogging journey around the "String Wars" in 2006, aligning herself with critics who argued that String Theory had failed to deliver.
Her subsequent rise to fame began with her transition to YouTube, where her content spanned from dance videos to science discussions. Hossenfelder became known for her educational videos, where she covered fundamental physics topics that many in academia neglected. Her unique, critical perspective resonated with a wide audience, but it also led to clashes with other academics, especially advocates of String Theory.
A significant aspect of Hossenfelder's critique revolves around the notion that no significant advancements have been achieved in the foundations of physics for decades. She insists that much of what physicists produce today amounts to little more than "paper production" without real scientific merit. While her criticisms find support among certain academia members, they have also bred a backlash, especially from those who believe in the ongoing value of String Theory and its potential insights.
Among her supporters, many appreciate Hossenfelder’s clear communication style. However, some observers have flagged her confrontational and blunt remarks as damaging clickbait, particularly when she makes sweeping statements about academia and science. Critics argue that such statements contribute to a growing distrust in scientific institutions, especially among those already inclined toward anti-establishment sentiments.
The intertwining of Hossenfelder's views with anti-establishment rhetoric creates a challenging scenario. Many critics point to how science deniers have co-opted her content as justification for their beliefs. This alignment raises red flags about how her comments resonate beyond legitimate scientific discourse. Professor Dave, a prominent educator, noted that her broader critiques contribute to an anti-Academia sentiment that clouds the real issues within scientific dialogue.
Some have voiced concern over what they perceive as an increasing trend in Hossenfelder's content, marked by controversial and poorly researched videos. Reaction to her claims about ongoing issues in physics, such as the black hole information paradox, further fuel the criticism. Her dismissal of the significance of this paradox, which has catalyzed vital discussions in the quest for unifying quantum mechanics with general relativity, is described by some viewers as short-sighted.
The Bailey Fallacy and Misrepresentation of Concepts
Critics argue Hossenfelder is at times guilty of the modern Bailey fallacy, where her push for a controversial position can quickly shift to a more defensible stance when challenged. For instance, while she initially stated that the black hole information paradox is not worth exploring, her arguments later shifted to the unrealistic nature of detecting Hawking radiation, thus framing her perspective as more cautious and grounded. This tactic can be misleading, as it obscures her true stance on complex scientific issues.
Additionally, Hossenfelder's interactions with prominent physicists like Roger Penrose have exposed potential flaws in her arguments. Her claims about mathematical inaccuracies in Penrose's Nobel-winning work were met with sharp rebuttals from Penrose himself. Such interactions highlight the responsibility of science communicators like Hossenfelder to ensure their statements are well-researched and accurately represent the scientific consensus.
In summary, Sabine Hossenfelder stands as a profoundly polarizing figure in the realm of science communication. Her willingness to challenge mainstream perspectives is commendable, yet it is equally essential for her—and those who engage with her content—to acknowledge the existing nuances within scientific discourse. While she unarguably raises valid points about academic practices and the state of physics, her cavalier dismissal of established principles can be detrimental, leading some to question her commitment to the scientific method.
For science enthusiasts, whether they love or hate her, one thing is evident: Sabine Hossenfelder is a voice that will not be silenced, and her influence on public understanding of science will continue to prompt discussions on trust, credibility, and the future of scientific inquiry.
This approach is already taking shape through Coinbase’s “Stand with Crypto” initiative, a grassroots movement aimed at rallying voter support for crypto-friendly legislation. The campaign has drawn millions of supporters who are eager to see policies that nurture blockchain technology and digital assets, rather than stifle them with restrictive regulations.
In the lead-up to the 2024 election, the cryptocurrency industry has backed Donald Trump’s campaign due to his pro-crypto stance. Digital asset firms also made separate donations to his inauguration efforts. Ripple pledged $5 million in XRP to the Trump-Vance Inaugural Committee, while Coinbase and Kraken each contributed $1 million.
The automotive industry is currently witnessing significant upheaval, with experts expressing deep concerns about the proposed merger of Nissan with Honda, and potentially Mitsubishi. Industry analysts like Carlos Ghosn warn that this merger, ostensibly a strategic move, may actually be a grave mistake driven by Japanese governmental pressure rather than sound business logic.
The automotive industry is currently witnessing significant upheaval, with experts expressing deep concerns about the proposed merger of Nissan with Honda, and potentially Mitsubishi. Industry analysts like Carlos Ghosn warn that this merger, ostensibly a strategic move, may actually be a grave mistake driven by Japanese governmental pressure rather than sound business logic.
Many insiders believe that the intent behind this merger is less about mutual benefit and more about a hostile takeover wherein Honda would subsume Nissan into its operations. Cautious sentiment toward this speculation is mirrored in the severe decline in stock prices for both companies, which are down by approximately 50% from their highs earlier this year. Although reports indicate a temporary stock price surge of about 15% following the merger news, the underlying skepticism remains palpable.
The notion of "survival of the biggest" seems to underscore the motivation for the merger. As Ghosn previously predicted, the automotive sector is poised for a shakeout, where only a few global giants may weather the storm. Nevertheless, merging operations in a bid for competitiveness raises many troubling questions.
Concerns Over Market Dynamics
Nissan's recent performance has been scrutinized as it struggles with substantial debt and persistent losses over three consecutive quarters. With a looming $7 billion debt repayment, the precarious situation adds fuel to fears of a Chinese takeover over Nissan. The Japanese government's wariness of Chinese influence amplifies the stakes, particularly against the backdrop of China's increasing hold over the global automotive industry.
Reflecting on these challenges, it's clear that the automotive contingent from Japan faces rising competition. Historically, 20 years ago China held approximately 2% of the global automotive market; today, that number has surged to more than 35%, with a staggering 80% of EVs and hybrid models manufactured within its borders. Both Nissan and Honda, facing superior efficiencies and lower prices from Chinese contenders, must now reckon with a daunting reality zone.
Amidst these tribulations, there is a discussion on the structural logistics of the merger. Despite rumors that a unified Honda-Nissan-Mitsubishi entity could ascend to become the third largest automaker globally, the combined entity would likely contend with similar internal competition. With both companies historically targeting overlapping market segments, they risk cannibalizing each other’s sales.
Cultural distinctions between Nissan and Honda present yet another challenge to seamless integration. While Nissan's history under Ghosn centered on engineering excellence, it has since transformed into a company marked by cost-cutting measures. Conversely, Honda operates with a reputation for rebellious innovation, typically associated with high-quality internal combustion engine vehicles.
Analysts argue for a more efficient alliance structure compared to the proposed merger, allowing the companies to share resources and stave off hostile takeovers without amalgamating entirely. However, the overarching complexity of navigating China’s evolving economic landscape remains unresolved, leading to speculation that a merger could unwittingly vault two financially struggling entities into a symbiotic crisis.
Japan's automotive titans must recognize that they are being collectively disrupted by external pressures, particularly from China. Not only are their sales declining, but technological and manufacturing efficiencies continually burgeon in jurisdictions outside their borders. This reality suggests a need for drastic strategies moving forward, perhaps even reconfiguring the global landscape of auto manufacturing as conventional practices yield to efficiency-driven propositions.
In conclusion, the recent discussions about Nissan and Honda merging indicate an increasingly complex environment for the global automotive industry. Analysts urge stakeholders to reconsider their positions, claiming that the merger might only amplify underlying inefficiencies and prolong the financial struggles of both companies. A singular focus on survival should not come at the expense of mismanagement or poorly thought-out corporate maneuvers. Therefore, the conversation surrounding this merger reflects broader themes of adaptation, market dynamics, and the looming shadows of competitors with inherently greater efficiency.
The Intriguing World of Superdeterminism: A Deep Dive into Quantum Mechanics
Quantum mechanics has long been a field marked by mystery and paradox, often challenging our fundamental understanding of reality. One of the most puzzling aspects arises from the interpretations of quantum events that seem to defy traditional causality and determinism. This article explores the concept of superdeterminism, which aims to reconcile these challenges by merging determinism with quantum mechanics.
Flipping a coin is a common act, typically resulting in a 50-50 chance of landing on heads or tails. This seems random, devoid of influence or predictability. However, suppose we considered all the conditions influencing the coin toss, such as angles, force, and distance. In that case, we could theoretically predict the outcome with certainty using Newton’s classical mechanics. This deterministic view contrasts sharply with quantum mechanics, where particles like electrons and photons operate under principles that defy straightforward predictability.
Determinism posits that every event is causally determined by preceding events. If we had complete knowledge of the universe's state at any given moment, we could forecast all future events. Quantum mechanics, however, introduces inherent unpredictability. The position of a particle, for example, cannot be precisely predicted—only the probabilities of its location can be determined. This fundamental uncertainty prompts questions about whether randomness is an intrinsic feature of the universe or merely an artifact of our limited knowledge.
Exploring Interpretations: Bohmian Mechanics and Superdeterminism
Among various interpretations of quantum mechanics, Bohmian mechanics provides a deterministic framework. It posits that particles follow specific trajectories guided by a wave function. This idea suggests that the apparent randomness is a result of our ignorance rather than an inherent property of the particles themselves.
However, superdeterminism offers an even more radical departure from traditional concepts of determinism. It posits that not just the particles but also the measurement settings and observers are correlated with the underlying system. In this sense, the choices made during measurements are not independent but are predetermined, allowing hidden variables to influence the outcomes of quantum events.
Despite its intriguing premises, superdeterminism is met with skepticism among physicists. Critics raise concerns about the implications of abandoning measurement independence, equating it with a denial of free will. This intertwining of human decision-making with quantum measurements presents a philosophical conundrum that many find uncomfortable.
Moreover, a significant critique of superdeterminism is its reliance on hidden variables. There is currently no conceptual framework or experimental evidence validating the existence or nature of these hidden variables. The lack of testable predictions further complicates its acceptance, categorizing superdeterminism more as a philosophical stance than a robust scientific theory.
Supporters of superdeterminism, including physicists like Sabina Hossenfelder, argue that current objections are rooted in misunderstandings. They assert that superdeterminism need not predict outcomes directly but can elucidate correlations that necessitate a reevaluation of quantum mechanics. As measurement technology progresses, predictions may become more accurate, revealing underlying deterministic features that classical theories anticipate.
The exploration of superdeterminism opens the door to fundamental questions about the nature of reality, causality, and our understanding of free will. The implications of accepting superdeterminism challenge the very fabric of how we interpret quantum events. While we may not yet have definitive answers, the ongoing discourse surrounding superdeterminism serves as a testament to the complex interplay between philosophy and the physics of the quantum realm.
As researchers continue to delve deeper into the foundations of quantum mechanics, perhaps future advancements will clarify or redefine the roles of determinism and randomness, leading us to a more comprehensive understanding of the universe.
Global Bond Yields: The Current Landscape of Interest Rates
Global bond yields have recently been experiencing noteworthy movements, demonstrating a complex interplay of factors. Among these, U.S. Treasuries stand out as particularly divergent, highlighting the ongoing confusion surrounding the Federal Reserve's strategy under Chairman Jerome Powell's leadership.
As the market undergoes these changes, we observe a peculiar scenario: while long-term Treasuries are selling off, many global markets, including swaps, seem to be on an upward trajectory. This trend is indicative of what has been termed bull steepening, where short-term rates decline at a swifter pace compared to long-term rates. The current disarray in Fed policy, often cloaked under the guise of data dependence, has left market analysts speculating about the central bank’s true intentions and future actions.
To make sense of the current environment, it’s instructive to draw from historical precedents. Looking back to 2001, a similar situation unfolded when the Federal Reserve began cutting rates amid a distinct yield curve reaction. At that juncture, the three-month Treasury rates dropped while the 10-year rates observed a rise. A similar pattern re-emerged in 2007, as the Fed cut rates, leading to a temporary uninversion before a subsequent turmoil.
These historical cyclical responses serve as a framework for current observations: while short-term rates are dropping significantly, the long-term rates remain relatively stable, indicative of the underlying market dynamics.
In comparing U.S. yields to Canadian maple bonds, we notice strong correlations arising from shared economic conditions. Despite differing central bank policies, yield behaviors reflect similarities, suggesting synchronized global economic conditions. For instance, as the Fed navigated its rate cuts, Canadian yields reflected a similar downward trend, indicating underlying convergence during times of economic uncertainty.
Similarly, with respect to European bond markets, the divergence between Treasuries and German bonds also underscores a complicated relationship stemming from varying central bank approaches. If the European Central Bank (ECB) exhibits clarity in communication compared to the Fed, it can lead to stark differences in market responses.
Instrumental in understanding this landscape are interest rate swaps, which suggest a broader market consensus on the future trajectory of rates. Swaps have consistently indicated expectations for declining long-term rates despite short-term fluctuations and Fed indecision. This reflects a collective market viewpoint that remains largely optimistic about the long-term outlook for interest rates.
A significant topic in current discussions around bond yields is the concept of term premiums. Traditionally regarded as the compensation investors require for lending over extended periods, the recent fluctuations have led many to question the validity of these premiums. Term premiums have fluctuated, at times turning positive and raising concerns about sustained higher interest rates. However, they often act as an econometric tool that reflects more about the Fed's positioning than actual market realities.
Further, examining the historical context behind term premiums, it becomes evident they have often been manipulated to align with Fed narratives, thereby obscuring underlying market signals.
In summary, the current state of global bond yields reflects a multifaceted economic landscape where structural shifts led by central banks wield considerable influence. As the market wades through the confusion fostered by Fed communications, analysts await a clearer directional trend from the powers that be.
The path forward may be uncertain, but the consistent signals from swaps and other global markets suggest a prevailing expectation of eventually lower long-term rates. This echoes past cycles, where clarity emerges only after central banks step back from the forefront, allowing market forces to recalibrate.
As always, it remains essential for investors and market watchers to tread carefully, monitoring developments both domestically and abroad while scrutinizing the Fed's evolving narrative.
When you use terminology that is exclusively based on Relativity to describe quantum systems, you're going to get people confused. Quantum systems don't operate under GR physics, as you later say. Quantum systems don't break causality. They're part of causality. We simply don't know how because quantum physics is still unsolved.
y intuitions on 4D vibrations for both positive/ negative in X, Y, Z and Time (spacetime) coordinates tells me this should be more apparent, rather than just positive for Time, but we are used to wavefunctions evolving in positive Time. The Arrow of Time after the wavefunction collapses gives us the classical world we see. Pre-wavefunction collapse, Time has a more significant +/- component than post-wavefunction collapse.
I am not a quantum scientist. But if a photon is emitted before one is absorbed, then the atom would expend energy before it receives it. Where would this energy come from and what would the atom’s energy be “measured” at during this time (essentially just before the photon hits the atom, the “atom’s” energy would drop to produce the “second” photon which is emitted before the first one has hits. I thought information can’t be transmitted faster than the speed of light and the atom can’t have less energy than it does. ??.
Earlier today, a whale took out 13,000 Solana (SOL) tokens, worth $2.58 million, from Coinbase to buy 2.86 million governance $AI16Z tokens at an average price of $0.90 per token. These kinds of governance tokens provide protocol participants the ability to vote, giving them a say in strategic choices.
Following the purchase, the tokens were moved to the whale’s primary wallet, which currently has 15.6 million $AI6Z valued at $14.93 million. $ZEREBRO ($4.82 million) and $GRIFFIAN ($2.63 million) are also part of the wallet’s larger portfolio, which comes to $22.39 million in total.
I had YouTube TV when it was $35 / month. Then they added channels I didn't want or need and price increases kept escalating. Game over for me. Just give us the option to pick our channels we actually want. Prices would go down, subscribers would go up, and channels nobody cares about would die on the vine - as they should.
Waldo, Florida is looking pretty bad. This area has been on a severe decline for many decades and it really doesn't look as if its going to get better any time soon. Once a flourishing area full of hotel resorts, cigar businesses, and other factories, now mostly abandoned and forgotten. With a population of just 809 people, there's over a 4% decline each year. Poverty is hovering around 21%, and median household income is only 24,139 dollars. This is for educational purposes. Let's take a drive and see what it looks like.
I'm German, but I often fly to the USA on vacation. I drive through your beautiful country in a rental car and just stay where I want. Sometimes I pass through beautiful areas but with run-down houses of little value. But what I will never understand is that every now and then there are cars worth $30,000 parked outside the door...how does that work????
This is the first explanation of entropy that explains why the universe started out in such a low entropy state- because it was so much smaller than it is now, and so much simpler because the symmetries had yet to be broken- it just makes sense that there would've been far fewer ways that the system (universe) could be arranged. Why haven't I heard this before? I guess they thought it was just apparent but- I had never even thought about this at all- it's so simple but explains so much. Entropy itself makes more sense when you think about the energy as being "less useful" even though it's conserved. I am definitely going to check out more of your videos- bravo man, well done.
Stephen Wolfram is a computer scientist, mathematician, theoretical physicist, and the founder of Wolfram Research, a company behind Wolfram|Alpha, Wolfram Language, and the Wolfram Physics and Metamathematics projects.
Wolfram asks what is the analog of Brownian Motion that would suggest that Space is discrete.
There are a number of contenders, they seem to abound... where effects in the vacuum are (currently) said to occur spontaneously.
Brownian Motion was also once taken as a spontaneous effect, because its cause was not known at the time.
One contender may be Spontaneous Symmetry-Breaking... which is an effect observed in lowest-energy vacuum solutions.
Bitcoin P2P as “Crime-as-a-Service”
In its latest report, titled “Money Laundering and Blockchain: Can You Track the Footprints in the Crypto World?”, the Bank highlights platforms like kycnot.me, which let users trade Bitcoin without knowing their customer identity verification (KYC), making it easier for criminals to hide illegal money.
The further report explains that these platforms let people trade Bitcoin without revealing their identity, making it difficult for law enforcement to track where the funds come from.
Money launderers often take advantage of platforms in countries with weak anti-money laundering (AML) laws or those labeled as high-risk by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).
!summarize #petealonso #nymets #mlb
Interestingly, the Bank report also mentions events like “Satoshi Spritz,” where individuals gather to exchange Bitcoin for goods or fiat currency. While these events are often organized by the Bitcoin community to educate others, the Bank warns that they could also be used for money laundering.
How Money Launderers Operate
Even though blockchain technology keeps a public record of all transactions, it doesn’t show the identity of the person behind each address. Criminals use this to their advantage, finding ways to hide the origin of their money.
The Bank’s report explains some common tricks used by money launderers.
Mixers and Tumblers: These tools mix different users’ funds, making it hard to trace where the money came from.
Chain-Hopping: This involves moving funds across different blockchains to confuse trackers.
Anonymous Wallets: These wallets hide users’ IP addresses and break the link between transactions.
!summarize #sabinehossenfelder #science
Part 1/12:
Sabine Hossenfelder: The Controversial Figure in Modern Physics
Sabine Hossenfelder is a multifaceted personality: a part-time scientist, prolific author, and science YouTuber known for her provocative views on contemporary physics. While she has garnered significant attention for her educational content and critiques of current academic norms, she has also stirred considerable controversy, particularly with her claim, "I don't trust science and I don't trust scientists." This assertion has drawn accusations of promoting anti-science narratives, leading to her being labeled a hypocrite by some critics.
A Troubling Academic Journey
Part 2/12:
Hossenfelder's skepticism toward academia seems rooted in her own experiences. Her academic journey revealed a landscape of politics and opportunism masked as a pursuit of knowledge. Starting her master's project under the supervision of Walter Greiner, she faced challenges that would shape her perspective. Greiner, a respected physicist known for his textbooks, reportedly let loose an angry dismissal when Hossenfelder refused to contribute free labor for his textbook production. Her brush with academia left her disillusioned, prompting her to realize that knowledge discovery often takes a backseat to profit-making in institutions.
The "String Wars" and Rise to Fame
Part 3/12:
The academic frustration intensified as Hossenfelder encountered what many physicists regard as a pseudo-science: String Theory. During the 80s and 90s, this theory was hailed as a potential "Theory of Everything," capable of unifying fundamental forces. Yet, it garnered criticism for its lack of empirical evidence and reliance on speculative and often contrived concepts. Hossenfelder began her blogging journey around the "String Wars" in 2006, aligning herself with critics who argued that String Theory had failed to deliver.
Part 4/12:
Her subsequent rise to fame began with her transition to YouTube, where her content spanned from dance videos to science discussions. Hossenfelder became known for her educational videos, where she covered fundamental physics topics that many in academia neglected. Her unique, critical perspective resonated with a wide audience, but it also led to clashes with other academics, especially advocates of String Theory.
Outspoken Critic of Academia
Part 5/12:
A significant aspect of Hossenfelder's critique revolves around the notion that no significant advancements have been achieved in the foundations of physics for decades. She insists that much of what physicists produce today amounts to little more than "paper production" without real scientific merit. While her criticisms find support among certain academia members, they have also bred a backlash, especially from those who believe in the ongoing value of String Theory and its potential insights.
Part 6/12:
Among her supporters, many appreciate Hossenfelder’s clear communication style. However, some observers have flagged her confrontational and blunt remarks as damaging clickbait, particularly when she makes sweeping statements about academia and science. Critics argue that such statements contribute to a growing distrust in scientific institutions, especially among those already inclined toward anti-establishment sentiments.
The Rise of Anti-Establishment Sentiments
Part 7/12:
The intertwining of Hossenfelder's views with anti-establishment rhetoric creates a challenging scenario. Many critics point to how science deniers have co-opted her content as justification for their beliefs. This alignment raises red flags about how her comments resonate beyond legitimate scientific discourse. Professor Dave, a prominent educator, noted that her broader critiques contribute to an anti-Academia sentiment that clouds the real issues within scientific dialogue.
Part 8/12:
Some have voiced concern over what they perceive as an increasing trend in Hossenfelder's content, marked by controversial and poorly researched videos. Reaction to her claims about ongoing issues in physics, such as the black hole information paradox, further fuel the criticism. Her dismissal of the significance of this paradox, which has catalyzed vital discussions in the quest for unifying quantum mechanics with general relativity, is described by some viewers as short-sighted.
The Bailey Fallacy and Misrepresentation of Concepts
Part 9/12:
Critics argue Hossenfelder is at times guilty of the modern Bailey fallacy, where her push for a controversial position can quickly shift to a more defensible stance when challenged. For instance, while she initially stated that the black hole information paradox is not worth exploring, her arguments later shifted to the unrealistic nature of detecting Hawking radiation, thus framing her perspective as more cautious and grounded. This tactic can be misleading, as it obscures her true stance on complex scientific issues.
Part 10/12:
Additionally, Hossenfelder's interactions with prominent physicists like Roger Penrose have exposed potential flaws in her arguments. Her claims about mathematical inaccuracies in Penrose's Nobel-winning work were met with sharp rebuttals from Penrose himself. Such interactions highlight the responsibility of science communicators like Hossenfelder to ensure their statements are well-researched and accurately represent the scientific consensus.
A Polarizing Figure in Science Communication
Part 11/12:
In summary, Sabine Hossenfelder stands as a profoundly polarizing figure in the realm of science communication. Her willingness to challenge mainstream perspectives is commendable, yet it is equally essential for her—and those who engage with her content—to acknowledge the existing nuances within scientific discourse. While she unarguably raises valid points about academic practices and the state of physics, her cavalier dismissal of established principles can be detrimental, leading some to question her commitment to the scientific method.
Part 12/12:
For science enthusiasts, whether they love or hate her, one thing is evident: Sabine Hossenfelder is a voice that will not be silenced, and her influence on public understanding of science will continue to prompt discussions on trust, credibility, and the future of scientific inquiry.
This approach is already taking shape through Coinbase’s “Stand with Crypto” initiative, a grassroots movement aimed at rallying voter support for crypto-friendly legislation. The campaign has drawn millions of supporters who are eager to see policies that nurture blockchain technology and digital assets, rather than stifle them with restrictive regulations.
In the lead-up to the 2024 election, the cryptocurrency industry has backed Donald Trump’s campaign due to his pro-crypto stance. Digital asset firms also made separate donations to his inauguration efforts. Ripple pledged $5 million in XRP to the Trump-Vance Inaugural Committee, while Coinbase and Kraken each contributed $1 million.
!summarize #honda #nissan #japan #automotive
Part 1/8:
Nissan and Honda: A Potentially Dangerous Merger
The automotive industry is currently witnessing significant upheaval, with experts expressing deep concerns about the proposed merger of Nissan with Honda, and potentially Mitsubishi. Industry analysts like Carlos Ghosn warn that this merger, ostensibly a strategic move, may actually be a grave mistake driven by Japanese governmental pressure rather than sound business logic.
Part 1/8:
Nissan and Honda: A Potentially Dangerous Merger
The automotive industry is currently witnessing significant upheaval, with experts expressing deep concerns about the proposed merger of Nissan with Honda, and potentially Mitsubishi. Industry analysts like Carlos Ghosn warn that this merger, ostensibly a strategic move, may actually be a grave mistake driven by Japanese governmental pressure rather than sound business logic.
Part 2/8:
Many insiders believe that the intent behind this merger is less about mutual benefit and more about a hostile takeover wherein Honda would subsume Nissan into its operations. Cautious sentiment toward this speculation is mirrored in the severe decline in stock prices for both companies, which are down by approximately 50% from their highs earlier this year. Although reports indicate a temporary stock price surge of about 15% following the merger news, the underlying skepticism remains palpable.
Part 3/8:
The notion of "survival of the biggest" seems to underscore the motivation for the merger. As Ghosn previously predicted, the automotive sector is poised for a shakeout, where only a few global giants may weather the storm. Nevertheless, merging operations in a bid for competitiveness raises many troubling questions.
Concerns Over Market Dynamics
Nissan's recent performance has been scrutinized as it struggles with substantial debt and persistent losses over three consecutive quarters. With a looming $7 billion debt repayment, the precarious situation adds fuel to fears of a Chinese takeover over Nissan. The Japanese government's wariness of Chinese influence amplifies the stakes, particularly against the backdrop of China's increasing hold over the global automotive industry.
Part 4/8:
Reflecting on these challenges, it's clear that the automotive contingent from Japan faces rising competition. Historically, 20 years ago China held approximately 2% of the global automotive market; today, that number has surged to more than 35%, with a staggering 80% of EVs and hybrid models manufactured within its borders. Both Nissan and Honda, facing superior efficiencies and lower prices from Chinese contenders, must now reckon with a daunting reality zone.
Industry Implications
Part 5/8:
Amidst these tribulations, there is a discussion on the structural logistics of the merger. Despite rumors that a unified Honda-Nissan-Mitsubishi entity could ascend to become the third largest automaker globally, the combined entity would likely contend with similar internal competition. With both companies historically targeting overlapping market segments, they risk cannibalizing each other’s sales.
Cultural distinctions between Nissan and Honda present yet another challenge to seamless integration. While Nissan's history under Ghosn centered on engineering excellence, it has since transformed into a company marked by cost-cutting measures. Conversely, Honda operates with a reputation for rebellious innovation, typically associated with high-quality internal combustion engine vehicles.
Part 6/8:
Analysts argue for a more efficient alliance structure compared to the proposed merger, allowing the companies to share resources and stave off hostile takeovers without amalgamating entirely. However, the overarching complexity of navigating China’s evolving economic landscape remains unresolved, leading to speculation that a merger could unwittingly vault two financially struggling entities into a symbiotic crisis.
The Future Landscape
Part 7/8:
Japan's automotive titans must recognize that they are being collectively disrupted by external pressures, particularly from China. Not only are their sales declining, but technological and manufacturing efficiencies continually burgeon in jurisdictions outside their borders. This reality suggests a need for drastic strategies moving forward, perhaps even reconfiguring the global landscape of auto manufacturing as conventional practices yield to efficiency-driven propositions.
Part 8/8:
In conclusion, the recent discussions about Nissan and Honda merging indicate an increasingly complex environment for the global automotive industry. Analysts urge stakeholders to reconsider their positions, claiming that the merger might only amplify underlying inefficiencies and prolong the financial struggles of both companies. A singular focus on survival should not come at the expense of mismanagement or poorly thought-out corporate maneuvers. Therefore, the conversation surrounding this merger reflects broader themes of adaptation, market dynamics, and the looming shadows of competitors with inherently greater efficiency.
!summarize #superdetermism #physics
Part 1/7:
The Intriguing World of Superdeterminism: A Deep Dive into Quantum Mechanics
Quantum mechanics has long been a field marked by mystery and paradox, often challenging our fundamental understanding of reality. One of the most puzzling aspects arises from the interpretations of quantum events that seem to defy traditional causality and determinism. This article explores the concept of superdeterminism, which aims to reconcile these challenges by merging determinism with quantum mechanics.
Coin Tossing and Probability in the Universe
Part 2/7:
Flipping a coin is a common act, typically resulting in a 50-50 chance of landing on heads or tails. This seems random, devoid of influence or predictability. However, suppose we considered all the conditions influencing the coin toss, such as angles, force, and distance. In that case, we could theoretically predict the outcome with certainty using Newton’s classical mechanics. This deterministic view contrasts sharply with quantum mechanics, where particles like electrons and photons operate under principles that defy straightforward predictability.
Determinism vs Quantum Mechanics
Part 3/7:
Determinism posits that every event is causally determined by preceding events. If we had complete knowledge of the universe's state at any given moment, we could forecast all future events. Quantum mechanics, however, introduces inherent unpredictability. The position of a particle, for example, cannot be precisely predicted—only the probabilities of its location can be determined. This fundamental uncertainty prompts questions about whether randomness is an intrinsic feature of the universe or merely an artifact of our limited knowledge.
Exploring Interpretations: Bohmian Mechanics and Superdeterminism
Part 4/7:
Among various interpretations of quantum mechanics, Bohmian mechanics provides a deterministic framework. It posits that particles follow specific trajectories guided by a wave function. This idea suggests that the apparent randomness is a result of our ignorance rather than an inherent property of the particles themselves.
However, superdeterminism offers an even more radical departure from traditional concepts of determinism. It posits that not just the particles but also the measurement settings and observers are correlated with the underlying system. In this sense, the choices made during measurements are not independent but are predetermined, allowing hidden variables to influence the outcomes of quantum events.
The Skepticism Surrounding Superdeterminism
Part 5/7:
Despite its intriguing premises, superdeterminism is met with skepticism among physicists. Critics raise concerns about the implications of abandoning measurement independence, equating it with a denial of free will. This intertwining of human decision-making with quantum measurements presents a philosophical conundrum that many find uncomfortable.
Moreover, a significant critique of superdeterminism is its reliance on hidden variables. There is currently no conceptual framework or experimental evidence validating the existence or nature of these hidden variables. The lack of testable predictions further complicates its acceptance, categorizing superdeterminism more as a philosophical stance than a robust scientific theory.
Advocating for Superdeterminism
Part 6/7:
Supporters of superdeterminism, including physicists like Sabina Hossenfelder, argue that current objections are rooted in misunderstandings. They assert that superdeterminism need not predict outcomes directly but can elucidate correlations that necessitate a reevaluation of quantum mechanics. As measurement technology progresses, predictions may become more accurate, revealing underlying deterministic features that classical theories anticipate.
Conclusion: The Ongoing Debate
Part 7/7:
The exploration of superdeterminism opens the door to fundamental questions about the nature of reality, causality, and our understanding of free will. The implications of accepting superdeterminism challenge the very fabric of how we interpret quantum events. While we may not yet have definitive answers, the ongoing discourse surrounding superdeterminism serves as a testament to the complex interplay between philosophy and the physics of the quantum realm.
As researchers continue to delve deeper into the foundations of quantum mechanics, perhaps future advancements will clarify or redefine the roles of determinism and randomness, leading us to a more comprehensive understanding of the universe.
!summarize #global #bonds #economy #centralbanks
Part 1/8:
Global Bond Yields: The Current Landscape of Interest Rates
Global bond yields have recently been experiencing noteworthy movements, demonstrating a complex interplay of factors. Among these, U.S. Treasuries stand out as particularly divergent, highlighting the ongoing confusion surrounding the Federal Reserve's strategy under Chairman Jerome Powell's leadership.
Understanding the Shift in Yields
Part 2/8:
As the market undergoes these changes, we observe a peculiar scenario: while long-term Treasuries are selling off, many global markets, including swaps, seem to be on an upward trajectory. This trend is indicative of what has been termed bull steepening, where short-term rates decline at a swifter pace compared to long-term rates. The current disarray in Fed policy, often cloaked under the guise of data dependence, has left market analysts speculating about the central bank’s true intentions and future actions.
Historical Context: Lessons from the Past
Part 3/8:
To make sense of the current environment, it’s instructive to draw from historical precedents. Looking back to 2001, a similar situation unfolded when the Federal Reserve began cutting rates amid a distinct yield curve reaction. At that juncture, the three-month Treasury rates dropped while the 10-year rates observed a rise. A similar pattern re-emerged in 2007, as the Fed cut rates, leading to a temporary uninversion before a subsequent turmoil.
These historical cyclical responses serve as a framework for current observations: while short-term rates are dropping significantly, the long-term rates remain relatively stable, indicative of the underlying market dynamics.
The Canadian and Global Perspective
Part 4/8:
In comparing U.S. yields to Canadian maple bonds, we notice strong correlations arising from shared economic conditions. Despite differing central bank policies, yield behaviors reflect similarities, suggesting synchronized global economic conditions. For instance, as the Fed navigated its rate cuts, Canadian yields reflected a similar downward trend, indicating underlying convergence during times of economic uncertainty.
Similarly, with respect to European bond markets, the divergence between Treasuries and German bonds also underscores a complicated relationship stemming from varying central bank approaches. If the European Central Bank (ECB) exhibits clarity in communication compared to the Fed, it can lead to stark differences in market responses.
The Role of Interest Rate Swaps
Part 5/8:
Instrumental in understanding this landscape are interest rate swaps, which suggest a broader market consensus on the future trajectory of rates. Swaps have consistently indicated expectations for declining long-term rates despite short-term fluctuations and Fed indecision. This reflects a collective market viewpoint that remains largely optimistic about the long-term outlook for interest rates.
Reevaluating Term Premiums
Part 6/8:
A significant topic in current discussions around bond yields is the concept of term premiums. Traditionally regarded as the compensation investors require for lending over extended periods, the recent fluctuations have led many to question the validity of these premiums. Term premiums have fluctuated, at times turning positive and raising concerns about sustained higher interest rates. However, they often act as an econometric tool that reflects more about the Fed's positioning than actual market realities.
Further, examining the historical context behind term premiums, it becomes evident they have often been manipulated to align with Fed narratives, thereby obscuring underlying market signals.
Conclusion: Anticipating Future Movements
Part 7/8:
In summary, the current state of global bond yields reflects a multifaceted economic landscape where structural shifts led by central banks wield considerable influence. As the market wades through the confusion fostered by Fed communications, analysts await a clearer directional trend from the powers that be.
The path forward may be uncertain, but the consistent signals from swaps and other global markets suggest a prevailing expectation of eventually lower long-term rates. This echoes past cycles, where clarity emerges only after central banks step back from the forefront, allowing market forces to recalibrate.
Part 8/8:
As always, it remains essential for investors and market watchers to tread carefully, monitoring developments both domestically and abroad while scrutinizing the Fed's evolving narrative.
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When you use terminology that is exclusively based on Relativity to describe quantum systems, you're going to get people confused. Quantum systems don't operate under GR physics, as you later say. Quantum systems don't break causality. They're part of causality. We simply don't know how because quantum physics is still unsolved.
y intuitions on 4D vibrations for both positive/ negative in X, Y, Z and Time (spacetime) coordinates tells me this should be more apparent, rather than just positive for Time, but we are used to wavefunctions evolving in positive Time. The Arrow of Time after the wavefunction collapses gives us the classical world we see. Pre-wavefunction collapse, Time has a more significant +/- component than post-wavefunction collapse.
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I am not a quantum scientist. But if a photon is emitted before one is absorbed, then the atom would expend energy before it receives it. Where would this energy come from and what would the atom’s energy be “measured” at during this time (essentially just before the photon hits the atom, the “atom’s” energy would drop to produce the “second” photon which is emitted before the first one has hits. I thought information can’t be transmitted faster than the speed of light and the atom can’t have less energy than it does. ??.
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Earlier today, a whale took out 13,000 Solana (SOL) tokens, worth $2.58 million, from Coinbase to buy 2.86 million governance $AI16Z tokens at an average price of $0.90 per token. These kinds of governance tokens provide protocol participants the ability to vote, giving them a say in strategic choices.
Following the purchase, the tokens were moved to the whale’s primary wallet, which currently has 15.6 million $AI6Z valued at $14.93 million. $ZEREBRO ($4.82 million) and $GRIFFIAN ($2.63 million) are also part of the wallet’s larger portfolio, which comes to $22.39 million in total.
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I had YouTube TV when it was $35 / month. Then they added channels I didn't want or need and price increases kept escalating. Game over for me. Just give us the option to pick our channels we actually want. Prices would go down, subscribers would go up, and channels nobody cares about would die on the vine - as they should.
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Waldo, Florida is looking pretty bad. This area has been on a severe decline for many decades and it really doesn't look as if its going to get better any time soon. Once a flourishing area full of hotel resorts, cigar businesses, and other factories, now mostly abandoned and forgotten. With a population of just 809 people, there's over a 4% decline each year. Poverty is hovering around 21%, and median household income is only 24,139 dollars. This is for educational purposes. Let's take a drive and see what it looks like.
I'm German, but I often fly to the USA on vacation. I drive through your beautiful country in a rental car and just stay where I want. Sometimes I pass through beautiful areas but with run-down houses of little value. But what I will never understand is that every now and then there are cars worth $30,000 parked outside the door...how does that work????
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!summarize #entropy #Time #science #physics
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This is the first explanation of entropy that explains why the universe started out in such a low entropy state- because it was so much smaller than it is now, and so much simpler because the symmetries had yet to be broken- it just makes sense that there would've been far fewer ways that the system (universe) could be arranged. Why haven't I heard this before? I guess they thought it was just apparent but- I had never even thought about this at all- it's so simple but explains so much. Entropy itself makes more sense when you think about the energy as being "less useful" even though it's conserved. I am definitely going to check out more of your videos- bravo man, well done.
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Stephen Wolfram is a computer scientist, mathematician, theoretical physicist, and the founder of Wolfram Research, a company behind Wolfram|Alpha, Wolfram Language, and the Wolfram Physics and Metamathematics projects.
Wolfram asks what is the analog of Brownian Motion that would suggest that Space is discrete.
There are a number of contenders, they seem to abound... where effects in the vacuum are (currently) said to occur spontaneously.
Brownian Motion was also once taken as a spontaneous effect, because its cause was not known at the time.
One contender may be Spontaneous Symmetry-Breaking... which is an effect observed in lowest-energy vacuum solutions.
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