Fed's Main Indicator Could Be Shaping Up To Provide A Crypto Bull Run
Sure enough the inflation situation s starting to shape up as others predicted. We are seeing the Fed's main inflation indicator looking better.
Another couple readings could really change the sentiment. If this is the case, we could be nearing a reversal.
In this video I discuss what this would mean for cryptocurrency and how it would affects people's holdings.
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Wonderful content and insight into macroeconomic and microeconomic factors, as always! 😊
I'd argue that due to the economic effects we'll be seeing over the next several months, we're going to see some downstream effects that affect large businesses, small businesses, and employed workers. This is going to cause financial pain for quite some time, and thus risk-on investments may take a longer time to recover than risk-off assets. If only for that reason, barring further black swan events, I'd push the recovery phase further back than the first half of 2023.
This may also differ depending on who will be purchasing cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. If we have larger institutions as the primary and majority buyers, then the recovery may begin sooner than I previously suggested.
(I personally wouldn't mind a delay of a few more months so I have a bit more time to accumulate. 😉)
The economic numbers aren't looking great and they are revising the numbers to the downside. From what I see, we will definitely be suffering a recession because none of those numbers outside the stock market seem to look decent at all. I just wonder how many businesses can survive the economic downturn.
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Hello @taskmaster4450 thank you for your update on inflation.
Barb
#thriveonhive
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Summary:
In this video, Task talks about the recent PCE reading, which is utilized by the Federal Reserve as their inflation metric. He discusses how the cryptocurrency industry has faced challenges in 2022, but he believes a turnaround is on the horizon. Task emphasizes the importance of building in the crypto industry despite market fluctuations. He explains the impact of market sentiment on cryptocurrency and expresses optimism about the future outlook for the industry. Task links the trends in inflation to the potential positive effects on the crypto market and the development of cryptocurrency projects like Hive. He concludes by highlighting the role of independent projects in building a strong foundation for Web3 and critiquing the role of VCs in the industry.
Detailed Article:
Taskmaster4450 discusses the recent reading from the Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE), highlighting its significance as the inflation metric used by the Federal Reserve. He contrasts the PCE with the commonly known Consumer Price Index (CPI) and notes that the 4.7% year-over-year inflation rate is a crucial factor for the cryptocurrency industry. Despite acknowledging the challenges faced by cryptocurrencies in 2022, Task remains optimistic about a potential turnaround and emphasizes the importance of resilience during market downturns.
Task delves into the concept of market sentiment in the crypto industry, emphasizing that sentiment can significantly impact the performance of cryptocurrencies. He compares the volatile nature of markets, driven by fear and greed, to the more stable and long-term nature of building in the industry. Task underlines the importance of focusing on development and building despite the market's unpredictable swings, citing the period since Bitcoin's peak in November 2021 as a time of industry growth and progress.
Moreover, Task connects the trends in inflation as indicated by the PCE to the potential positive outcomes for the crypto market. He suggests that diminishing inflationary pressures could lead to a shift in market sentiment towards risk-on environments, ultimately benefiting the cryptocurrency sector. Task highlights the importance of monitoring these trends over time and suggests that the industry could experience significant growth in the near future as market sentiment evolves.
Furthermore, Task discusses the developments in the cryptocurrency space, particularly focusing on projects like Hive. He applauds the progress made in the industry over the past year and anticipates further advancements in usability and functionality of cryptocurrency projects in the coming months. Task also touches upon the challenges posed by private keys and wallets in cryptocurrency transactions, underscoring the importance of maintaining control and sovereignty in the digital asset space.
In conclusion, Taskmaster4450 reflects on the evolving landscape of the cryptocurrency industry, emphasizing the importance of independent projects in driving innovation and solving real-world problems. He critiques traditional VC involvement in the sector and predicts a shift towards a foundation of Web3 based on genuine utility and innovation. Task concludes by suggesting that the Federal Reserve may face challenges in the near future and encourages viewers to stay tuned for further updates on the industry's developments and market dynamics.
Notice: This is an AI-generated summary based on a transcript of the video. The summarization of the videos in this channel was requested/approved by the channel owner.