Amazing Robot Breakthrough And Why Web3 Is Crucial
For those who think that things will progress slower in 2024 regarding technology, this is not going to be the case.
It appears that while 2023 was the year of LLM (Large Learning Models), 2024 is going to capture the world with LBMs (Large Behavioral Models). This is what is now being used to train robots, a bridge from the digital to physical world.
As we can imagine, this could have a profound impact upon society. This is going to cause a lot of issues, fear, and discussions about how to solve this problem. From my perspective, I think it emphasizes the needs for Web3 even more.
In this article we will go through what is taking place along with how to offset this.
Rise of the Robots
It appears the world revolves around data. Over the past 13 months, the online world is able to play with the chatbots produced by Google, Twitter, Meta, and OpenAi. We can see some impressive stuff resulting. While this is really glorified search, it does get the imagination of many going.
Whatever the next phase of this evolution, we now have something that could dwarf it in impact. Large Behavioral Models (LBMs) could serve up the next breakthroughs. This is not tied to the digital world per se but, rather, robotics. Here is where we could start to see the "rise of the robots".
Over the last few days it appears many robotic and AI experts were caught off guard. We saw a video posted by FigureAI that stunned many.
Here is the short video:
While that might not seem impressive to the average person, this is a huge breakthrough. The key here is the training took about 10 hours to complete. With these systems, once the task is learned, it is never forgotten.
Another vital point is the fact the system learns from each robot. If it had 50 different ones focusing upon tasks, aa simple update means provides network ability. Unlike humans who have to learn individually, these systems operate at the collective level.
Video Training Changing Everything
At the core is the ability to train these systems from video. It is something that Tesla stumbled upon early last year. Since that time, it spread throughout the entire industry. Many companies are feeding labelled video through the neural networks, training them on a variety of tasks.
One company that is moving in a massive way is Google. According to a post on its blog, they are now using Visual Learning Models (VLM) which can give the robots an understanding of its layout. When this is combines with LLM, we are seeing the system better comprehend what humans are seeking. This allows for the training with a lot less code.
Another point is they are finding the system learns by viewing a short series of images. This means scaling is possible.
In extensive real-world evaluations over seven months, the system safely orchestrated as many as 20 robots simultaneously, and up to 52 unique robots in total, in a variety of office buildings, gathering a diverse dataset comprising 77,000 robotic trials across 6,650 unique tasks.
This is laying the foundation for these types of machines to operate in a particular environment, like a home or factory, and execute commands such as "cook me an omelet" or "organize those parts based upon SIC categorization".
The Usual Suspects
It should come as no surprise that we start to see the same companies in the news with these breakthroughs. While there are some start ups, we find that Meta, Google, Amazon, and X are getting the headlines. Also, even though they are not public about things, we have to presume Apple is somewhere in the equation.
What does this mean for the future of humanity? We can easily see how a handful of technology companies are looking to replicate the Internet. By that we are referring to the siloed system we now have. A handful of corporations basically control the digital realm. What happens if these extends to the physical world?
It is evident that these corporations are looking to control the means of production. This is going to remove it from humanity. Labor is estimated to be around $30 trillion annually. The potential exists for this to be diverted into the pockets of these entities.
Production being done by machine is a major component of the age of abundance. It is what is moving our economy away from scarcity. Nevertheless, is it an improvement if this only further empowers a small handful of companies?
Here is where I believe Web3 enters the picture.
New Ownership Model
Each of the companies mentioned are owned by their shareholders. This is the decentralization mechanisms of the 19th and 20th centuries. The rise of the corporation allowed many to participate in globalization and profit from the growth of these entities.
Of course, while this expanded things from the "Robber Baron" days, we are still dealing with a relatively small group of people as compared to the general population. Many are going to call for governments to step in. Unfortunately, this is a history littered with failure, especially as corporations are not starting to rival governments in power.
Web 3.0 is going to transform humanity. The question is how does it unfold. Here is where we are at a crossroads.
To start, if hundreds of millions of jobs are eliminated over a 3-5 year period, how does people sustain themselves? Again, we are going to see many call for government intervention. Does anyone really think being subservient to a government is the best course of action?
As detailed in past articles, the replacement for labor income could be staking. Here is where people have financial stake in networks that are growing in importance. The next for public data should be evident by now. Overlooking this means continually feeding the largest tech companies in the world, something that might not have a great outcome for the majority of the population.
How do we offset a handful of companies controlling the entire means of production? This is a greater concern to me than the Terminator scenario. The likelihood of that is much lower than a small number of corporations taking the control of the digital realm and extending it into the physical.
Once again, we are back to centralization and the danger it poses. Here we are talking about data. Think of all the video training material Google has simply from YouTube. The sick part of it is each day, It is reported that 500 hours of video are uploaded to that platform every minutes. This works out to 720K hours per day.
We keep feeding the beast.
Of course, we follow this by our activity on the Facebook family of applications, X, and Amazon. We are being tracked everywhere. The same is true on our phones and laptops.
While we cannot eliminate all of this, we can start to consciously choose to develop more Web3 databases. At the basic level, this means activity.
As always, nothing operates in a vacuum. People need to wake up to the backdrop of what everything is operating within. Obviously, we cannot turn away from these entities immediately. However, we can start the process.
Recent breakthroughs should get the attention of everyone and for a multitude of reasons.
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To me I think there is going to be alot of changes and increase in technology in this 2024, so we shouldn't be surprise by the time we started seing lots of things
Certainly over the next couple years. Not sure how much rolls out in the next 12 months.
Technology is changing a lot these days. Over time technology will make our life easier but in some cases it has limitations. It could change the future of humanity.
Extraordinary
rePORTed
for @theocu, @chrisrice, @others
gonna be a HOT year
Don't know why I'm thinking that in very near future Robots surpass humans in many of daily life activities.
It will happen, not sure how near it is.
But the stuff humans can do better than machines is decreasing each day.
Definitely humans can do better but most of humans are lazy and machines are made to finish their works fastly.
If we humans leave that laziness behind then we can surpass those upcoming machines too.
In as much as we anticipate technological advancement and improvement, the fact that robot could actually do virtually everything for human would breed lazy and intellectually limited personalities in the incoming generations
It’s both impressive and scary at the same time.
I disagree vehemently. It is notorious that LLM's escaped from corporate vaults and are in the wild. BLM's aren't going to be different. Hundreds of thousands of people are using AI they trained themselves, on equipment they own themselves - and outcompeting corporate products. I read of a company last week that has a few Nvidia A100's and is leasing them out to folks for AI training purposes. They will do that for BLM's too.
What this will do is put this kind of AI training in the hands of humanity - corporations will NOT be able to silo it and keep it from makers. Consider how designing a part using blender or other 3D designing software is a pretty high barrier to making things with 3D printers. Then consider how being able to sketch a design casually and explain necessary parameters to a 3D printing AI will enable that whole field to become obsolete, and memorizing how to manipulate cursors to lay out precise 3D dimensions will no longer be necessary. All the decentralized means of production, not just the few I mentioned below, will be susceptible to this advance, and that doesn't cut humanity off from participating in production, it eliminates corporate control of production and puts it in the hands of those with table top production tech they own themselves.
I want very much to see the ability to train 3D printers, aquaponics systems, independent power production systems, and much, much more to make stuff, grow stuff, and maintain stuff, so all that BS makework is handled by our production equipment and we are free to innovate, or just laze around and drink whisky, as we prefer.
Thanks!
Edit: a couple years back a guy released a facial recognition software that compared porn clips to social media profiles, and it is now commonplace for women that have lonelyfans sites to be doxxed to their families. These mechanisms aren't remaining the exclusive property of megacorporations, but escape their silos into the wild where we can use them as we see fit. Whether using facial recognition to spot undercover cops, or agents saboteurs in the Jan. 6 crowd (which would probably have saved Ashli Babbit's life, and kept a lot of guys out of prison), or training a robot arm with a pneumatic ratchet attachment to change your oil every 3000 miles (after it does your dishes), these abilities are going to dramatically advance human felicity, and not only our corporate overlords.
Data isn't secure, and it isn't possible to secure data from haxors. The recent Apple factory backdoor discovery reveals this principle is extremely robust, because the complexity of that hack meant that it took months to even understand all the parts - but independent researchers did discover how Apple had created that backdoor in their chips and even provided registers that were not published as part of the design and only were available to the spooks that used the backdoors to surveil Apple users. India has forced it's population to use retinal scans and fingerprints as part of their digital ID's. Last month hackers acquired that biometric data for ~800M Indian citizens, and now those people can NEVER be secure from their identity being spoofed by hackers, as long as they have the eyes and fingertips they were born with.
They cannot, and will not, keep this technology siloed. It's probably already in the wild as we speak.
I hope you are correct and look forward to what you describe. However, even with the open source move, we see the internet still siloed. And while LLMs are on other machines, arent they still feeding the same source?
Data might not be secure as you mention. However, they can make it difficult to get a hold of. We already saw steps taken to limit scraping of some sites. Will that continue?
It is going to be a race for a while. We will see how things unfold over the next 24-36 months.
I must not be understanding your question, because the open source devs running LLM's on laptops are not the corporations running LLM's on supercomputers.
As to BLM escaping into the wild and the access to data preventing the utility of BLMs to open source devs, the example cited illustrates the ubiquity of the availability of the data to devs. It isn't overlords that control making coffee. The data necessary to train AI to tackle tasks necessary to civil society doesn't have any way to be sequestered from the people that generate that data. All the tasks desirable to automate are the laborious work ordinary people do, necessary to keep the wheels on the bus of civilization.
Nothing overlords do is desirable or necessary to automate. Freedom is the cessation of overlords. That used to be inconceivable because industry required pools of capital and coordination of collective labor, which required hierarchical control, and overlords. Automation renders collective labor obsolete, which renders hierarchical control obsolete. Decentralization of the means of production, transforming production tooling into table top tech, renders the pools of capital formerly required to produce goods obsolete, which renders overlords obsolete. That transition to the Space Age is the obsolescence of overlords.
The data overlords depend on for their control of humanity aren't generated by them, but by us. The cameras surveilling us on satellites, spyplanes, telephone poles, and etc., are much more expensive and difficult to site and maintain than the cameras I own, or the cameras the landowner has surveilling the neighborhood. We are the data. Coordinating sharing that data amongst ourselves is vastly less expensive, difficult, or objectionable to us than overlords acquiring that data over our objections.
Centralization cannot compete with decentralization economically. The primary impediment to eliminating overlords is psychological. This is the reason for the massive implementation of indoctrination, censorship, and propaganda, because that is the actual mechanism that overlords depend on for their wealth and power - psychologically preventing us from just doing ourselves what is necessary without being told what to do by overlords. That is so artificial and tenuous that it is really impossible to project forward to a world in which overlords maintain their wealth and power. Natural evolution of every social, industrial, and economic mechanism eliminates unnecessary complexity, and that eliminates obligate parasitic extraction of the wealth and power that neither depends on overlords nor inures to them without frivolous externalities. We neither need them nor benefit from them. They are not only extraneous to production, but detrimental to it.
This is a very big deal. I have been seeing the improvements of the boston dynamics robot and the last one I've seen was their focus on movement. Seeing a robot have this much finesse, and able to correct mistakes is amazing. Learning through just video will make teaching them quicker, and easier. I was wondering when these software and hardware will be combined, and it seems it is soon, or happening already.
That is really a nothing compared to some of the other things out there. That is a prototype designed to raise more money. It is impressive in what it can do (agility) but really doesnt have much real world applications.
What some others are working upon will. Google is one to watch, they could be designing the software that brings a lot of this to the forefront.
While a lot of work is now becoming artificial intelligence and robotic, I liked your proposal.
Everything is actually pointing that Web3 is the future and every digital project will depend on it also
Great post, saw it because of @frankbacon.
Here is another amazing video you may like @taskmaster4450.
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AloH@HolA
https://twitter.com/dbuzz17/status/1141488792429375488
How is the Shore ?
THIVE: What did FRANK BACON know and when did they know it? :OBAMAGATE | CHAPTER 17 Q.E.D.
Why did he call him Barrack Hussein Obama? lol
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Great Question
https://www.proquest.com/openview/6e59d51be09c3be59748cdab6721930f/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=2032433
This is amazing. Come to D.Buzz @frankbacon.
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