RE: Maverick Chat Untamed: Tear-soaked Wrappers and Regret
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For a 95% confidence ratio, you need 4268 packs. With potions it's 2,100ish, and I just like to say 2,400 since that's where the bonus pack discount maxes out on current packs.
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95% confidence for what? getting a GFL?
For getting an even spread of Common-Legendary RF-- You have to have a much higher amount of packs for a 95% confidence interval on getting a reliable spread of GF.
How do you define an even spread? Sorry for all the questions, but I'm a stats guy and the threshold where it becomes worth opening packs is a really important metric to me.
The expected percentages of each-- 1.5% Legendary (doubled if using potions), x% Epic, y% Rare, and z% common. Anything less than a 95% confidence interval isn't considered statistically significant-- this is usually used for determining how large a sample size is needed for a research study.
This video is pretty good, and it goes into standard deviations a bit too.
Oh thanks! Can you show me the exact calculation that led you to the 4268 number?
I can't because I had my statistics professor friend do it. I text him random questions all the time-- we've been friends since we were kids.
Oh that's disappointing. As a statistician myself, I'd recommend having people explain things to you and not just give you numbers you don't know where they came from. Like your number seems too high to me, but without knowing where it came from, it's hard to understand if I'm missing something, or your friend is.