$HIVE & $BTC Technical Analysis - 08.12.2024
Last Sunday I missed posting my report. The brutal truth is, I was exhausted and had no brain for TA. In this industry, you need your head 100% in the game, otherwise any mistake can cost you a lot, but I'm here today, so let's see what $HIVE has been doing.
Finally, looking at the monthly chart, I'm seeing a price action I've been talking about for months.
Last month $HIVE was finally able to break out of the gap has been inside of for the past 6 months. The monthly candle closed above both gaps, inverting them and so far, even though the month has just started, the current candle is a nice bullish one. I'm not going to speculate on the monthly as TA is not about making speculations, so let's wait till the month ends.
The weekly chart also looks good. At the time of writing, there are around 6 hours till the weekly candle close, so in theory a lot can happen, but should this candle close above the gap, would mean bullish continuation to the upside. Should the candle close below or inside the gap, that means rejection and possibly continuation to the downside.
However, I'd be cautious here. Even if the candle closes above the gap, I wouldn't exclude revisiting the $0.3 level. No need to panic, it would be a healthy correction and most likely needed too and better now than later, from a higher level.
In case of a successful weekly close, I'm looking for price to sweep the equal highs at $0.4987 and ultimately the levels above, market in the chart.
On the daily, price ran into resistance. The bearish gap market with yellow has rejected price twice and is capping the market for the time being. Today's candle rebalanced it, but for bullish continuation it needs to close above and invert it.
On a more granular scale, the h4 chart is showing a bit of weakness. Price lost momentum and possibly coming back to rebalance the gap, or interact with the h4 order block. Such a small pullback is healthy, no cause for concern and as I said earlier in this post, better now than later.
After 34 weeks of consolidation under previous ATH, $BTC finally made a significant move to the upside. We had news catalyst to help price get to this high, but at the end of the day, it doesn't matter, what matters is that $BTC has finally managed to break above $100k.
We have a bullish gap on the leg up, which may (or may not) get retested. Only time will tell.
The daily charts shows a bit of indecision, but it still looks good to me. Price is above the OB and even though today we may get a second doji, it's still not bad. At this point price can go either way. As long as it stays above the OB, I'm looking for price to sweep the current ATH. On the downside, the next liquidity pool is around $90530, but revisiting the $85k area is not excluded either.
This week we had 5 red folder news day with nice volatility. Next week we only have 2 days, so most likely the other 3 days will be a bit boring, but with the current geo-political situation, you never know. Things can move quickly, so better be prepared for every scenario and apply strict risk management.
Now that $HIVE finally started to move, I'm really curios how things are going to evolve for us.
Stay safe people, be smart and protect your capital.
As always, this is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Also please note, this is not financial advice, it's my view and understanding of the market.
All charts posted here are screenshots from Tradinview.
If you're a newbie, you may want to check out these guides:
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@jlinaresp(11/15) tipped @erikah
Yo tengo una orden en 0.45 de $hive, solo 300 en el token, porque quiero esperar a ver si sube un poco más y hacer alguna venta escalonada, y así después compras progresivas a medida que baje.. Ya veremos @erikah, buen análisis 🧐 el que nos presentas amiga !!!! Saludos 😉👌👏
$HIVE can go way higher than $0.48, but it takes time. Anyway, good luck with it :)
Si pero quiero ir tomando ganancias parciales !! @erikah
HIVE to the Moon? We Hope it ❤️
@tipu curate
Upvoted 👌 (Mana: 20/50) Liquid rewards.
Of course $HIVE to the moos 😎💚
😊👍🏻👍🏻
#Bitcoin price crossing $100k a big deal and it's a reality now but hopefully this is just the beginning and best of btc has not even started in this cycle, this is what most people say currently.
Hive has also shown great momentum and would like to know what ATH you are expecting? if you want to share about it
Well, everyone is euphoric about $BTC crossing $100k and so many are mentioning really high numbers. However, we have to be realistic. I'm not predicting price, just reading charts and maybe extrapolating using some tools, then see where price go.
What we need to factor in is, that this cycle is not like the previous ones and participants are not the same either. We have institutions buying $BTC, $ETH and other tokens, which is pretty new as they were not participating in previous cycles.
$HIVE is a different animal. As a technical analyst, I can only rely on what the chart tells me, meaning I'm looking at ATH first, and if we get there, then extrapolate the next levels. Will we get a new ATH? No one knows.
I usually read carefully and try to say something smart but this is all I got this week 🙂
Well my friend, $100k is perfect 😀
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I was interested to see your target of $0.4987. In my head I thought the target was $0.40.
I think it might take 13 weeks from 13th Nov till we hit 49 cents. (13th Nov was the first pump of this cycle, and it will take some time for the market to absorb power down sales).
Well, I read what the chart says to me.
As about how long it takes to get to 49c, no one knows. There are factors we don't know, so all I can do is mark the areas of interest and watch price moving.
The truth is that sometimes it is necessary a good healthy correction to continue growing safely, hopefully the system continues to grow in a healthy way, I'm here in Hive for almost 3 years and I have been collecting a lot, preparing for that day where I can sell my positions.
With the last rise of BTC and ETH I have been able to take some profits, moreover now that I have some projects for delane and I need liquidity so if Hive goes along and I get to need I would be very happy to have that money, thank you very much for your post.
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